Final Score: Diamondbacks 5 - Cubs 6
Friday, May 1, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
Diamondbacks @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 103 | 90 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 30 | 31 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 5.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.5 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 69% |
Recent Results
Diamondbacks
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 14
1-13
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 19
12-7
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Chicago White Sox
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Chicago White Sox
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Chicago White Sox
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
Cubs
@ San Diego Padres
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ San Diego Padres
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ San Diego Padres
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1