Final Score: Cubs 7 - Padres 9
Monday, April 27, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
17-11 Rating 1535
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
18-9 Rating 1547
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Padres
All-time wins 289 243
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.0
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Padres
Games played 28 27
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.1
Win percentage 61% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 69%