Final Score: Mariners 6 - Padres 7
Wednesday, April 15, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Mariners @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
8-10 Rating 1526
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
11-6 Rating 1542
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Padres
All-time wins 73 65
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 3.9
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Padres
Games played 18 17
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.4 3.6
Win percentage 44% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 14% 64%