Final Score: Mariners 1 - Padres 4
Tuesday, April 14, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Mariners @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
8-9 Rating 1528
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
10-6 Rating 1540
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Padres
All-time wins 73 64
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 3.9
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Padres
Games played 17 16
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.4 3.8
Win percentage 47% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 17% 60%