Final Score: Astros 7 - Mariners 8
Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Astros @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 135 | 98 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 9 |
| Stat | Astros | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 14 | 14 |
| Avg runs scored | 6.1 | 3.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 6.2 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 36% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 14% | 50% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Seattle Mariners
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Athletics
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 22
10-12
@ Athletics
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
@ Athletics
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Boston Red Sox
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
Mariners
vs Houston Astros
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Los Angeles Angels
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Los Angeles Angels
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs New York Yankees
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs New York Yankees
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs New York Yankees
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1