Final Score: Mets 4 - Cubs 12
Friday, April 17, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Mets @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
7-12 Rating 1500
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
9-9 Rating 1524
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Cubs
All-time wins 328 328
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 8 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Cubs
Games played 19 18
Avg runs scored 3.4 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.2
Win percentage 37% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 44%