Final Score: Reds 4 - Phillies 1
Tuesday, May 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Reds @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
24-24 Rating 1495
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Phillies
25-23 Rating 1544
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Phillies
All-time wins 287 241
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Phillies
Games played 48 48
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.6
Win percentage 50% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 52%