Final Score: Phillies 3 - Padres 0
Wednesday, May 27, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
28-27 Rating 1541
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Padres
31-23 Rating 1539
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 298 230
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 55 54
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.9
Win percentage 51% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 52%