Final Score: Nationals 2 - Braves 0
Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
25-27 Rating 1454
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +1.2
Braves
36-16 Rating 1543
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Braves
All-time wins 389 437
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Braves
Games played 52 52
Avg runs scored 5.5 5.4
Avg runs conceded 5.8 3.4
Win percentage 48% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 68%