Final Score: Braves 9 - Marlins 3
Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Braves @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Braves | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 334 | 220 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 1 |
| Stat | Braves | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 50 | 50 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.4 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 68% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 69% | 52% |
Recent Results
Braves
@ Miami Marlins
May 20, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Miami Marlins
May 19, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 12
0-12
vs Boston Red Sox
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Boston Red Sox
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Boston Red Sox
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago Cubs
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Chicago Cubs
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Chicago Cubs
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
Marlins
vs Atlanta Braves
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Atlanta Braves
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs Atlanta Braves
May 18, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 12
12-0
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 17, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Minnesota Twins
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
@ Minnesota Twins
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
@ Minnesota Twins
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Washington Nationals
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2