Final Score: Marlins 10 - Rays 5
Saturday, May 16, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Marlins @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 63 | 85 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 7 |
| Stat | Marlins | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 45 | 43 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 32% | 79% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Minnesota Twins
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
@ Minnesota Twins
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
@ Minnesota Twins
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Washington Nationals
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Washington Nationals
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Washington Nationals
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
Rays
vs Miami Marlins
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Boston Red Sox
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Boston Red Sox
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Boston Red Sox
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1