Final Score: Rays 8 - Red Sox 4
Thursday, May 7, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Rays @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 228 | 266 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 3 |
| Stat | Rays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 36 | 37 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 43% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 38% |
Recent Results
Rays
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs San Francisco Giants
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Francisco Giants
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs San Francisco Giants
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Minnesota Twins
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Red Sox
@ Detroit Tigers
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Detroit Tigers
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ Detroit Tigers
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Houston Astros
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Houston Astros
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Houston Astros
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3