Final Score: Rays 3 - Guardians 2
Monday, April 27, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET

Rays @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
16-11 Rating 1507
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.4
Guardians
15-14 Rating 1523
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Guardians
All-time wins 86 114
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.0 4.7
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Guardians
Games played 27 29
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.3
Win percentage 59% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 62%