Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Tigers 4
Monday, May 4, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Red Sox @ Tigers
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 347 | 270 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 6 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 34 | 35 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.8 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 38% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 39% | 80% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
vs Houston Astros
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Houston Astros
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Houston Astros
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 18
17-1
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
vs New York Yankees
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
Tigers
vs Texas Rangers
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Texas Rangers
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Texas Rangers
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ Cincinnati Reds
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 17
8-9
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4