Final Score: Mets 2 - Nationals 1
Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET
Mets @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 488 | 480 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 8 |
| Stat | Mets | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 49 | 50 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 5.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 5.9 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 40% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Washington Nationals
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Washington Nationals
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
@ Washington Nationals
May 18, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 23
16-7
vs New York Yankees
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs New York Yankees
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs New York Yankees
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Detroit Tigers
May 14, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Detroit Tigers
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Detroit Tigers
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Nationals
vs New York Mets
May 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs New York Mets
May 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
vs New York Mets
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 23
7-16
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 17, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 16
13-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 16
1-15
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5