Final Score: Orioles 3 - Nationals 13
Saturday, May 16, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET
Orioles @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 64 | 56 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Orioles | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 45 | 45 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.2 | 5.7 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 35% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Washington Nationals
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs New York Yankees
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs New York Yankees
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs New York Yankees
May 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Athletics
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Athletics
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Athletics
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
Nationals
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 16
1-15
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Miami Marlins
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Miami Marlins
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Minnesota Twins
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Minnesota Twins
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 17
15-2
vs Minnesota Twins
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11