Final Score: Twins 2 - Nationals 15
Wednesday, May 6, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Twins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
16-20 Rating 1461
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.1
Nationals
16-20 Rating 1447
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Nationals
All-time wins 14 14
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 11 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Nationals
Games played 36 36
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.8
Win percentage 44% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 24%