Final Score: Blue Jays 11 - Twins 4
Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Twins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
15-17 Rating 1527
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.4
Twins
14-19 Rating 1459
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Twins
All-time wins 242 198
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Twins
Games played 32 33
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.7
Win percentage 47% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 50%