Final Score: Brewers 6 - Nationals 1
Friday, May 1, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Brewers @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Brewers
16-14 Rating 1545
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +0.7
Nationals
15-17 Rating 1450
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Brewers Nationals
All-time wins 99 87
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.6
Last meeting 6 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Brewers Nationals
Games played 30 32
Avg runs scored 5.3 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.8
Win percentage 53% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 23%