Final Score: Brewers 4 - Nationals 1
Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET

Brewers @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Brewers
17-14 Rating 1547
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +0.8
Nationals
15-18 Rating 1449
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Brewers Nationals
All-time wins 100 87
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.9 4.6
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Brewers Nationals
Games played 31 33
Avg runs scored 5.4 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.8
Win percentage 55% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 21%