Final Score: Nationals 0 - Mets 8
Tuesday, April 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
13-16 Rating 1447
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.7
Mets
9-19 Rating 1488
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Mets
All-time wins 476 486
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.1
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Mets
Games played 29 28
Avg runs scored 5.4 3.3
Avg runs conceded 5.9 4.4
Win percentage 45% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 33%