Final Score: Braves 7 - Nationals 2
Thursday, April 23, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET

Braves @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
17-8 Rating 1525
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.5
Nationals
11-14 Rating 1447
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Nationals
All-time wins 435 389
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 8 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Nationals
Games played 25 25
Avg runs scored 5.7 5.7
Avg runs conceded 3.4 6.2
Win percentage 68% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 69% 25%