Final Score: Nationals 10 - Guardians 2
Monday, May 25, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
27-27 Rating 1459
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +1.0
Guardians
32-23 Rating 1535
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Guardians
All-time wins 14 14
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 6 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Guardians
Games played 54 55
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.6 3.8
Win percentage 50% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 60%