Final Score: Marlins 7 - Mets 9
Friday, May 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
26-31 Rating 1477
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.3
Mets
23-33 Rating 1487
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Mets
All-time wins 251 291
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Mets
Games played 57 56
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.3
Win percentage 46% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 44%