Final Score: Mets 0 - Marlins 4
Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Mets @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
22-30 Rating 1491
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.1
Marlins
24-29 Rating 1476
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Marlins
All-time wins 291 250
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Marlins
Games played 52 53
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.6
Win percentage 42% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 53%