Final Score: Marlins 1 - Mets 6
Saturday, May 30, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Marlins @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 251 | 292 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 9 |
| Stat | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 58 | 57 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 42% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 32% | 46% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ New York Mets
May 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 26, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 25, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs New York Mets
May 24, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs New York Mets
May 23, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs New York Mets
May 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Atlanta Braves
May 21, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs Atlanta Braves
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Atlanta Braves
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
Mets
vs Miami Marlins
May 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 25, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Miami Marlins
May 24, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 23, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Washington Nationals
May 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Washington Nationals
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Washington Nationals
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9