Final Score: Mets 7 - Padres 3
Sunday, June 7, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Mets @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
28-36 Rating 1492
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.6
Padres
33-30 Rating 1529
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Padres
All-time wins 263 269
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 3.8
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Padres
Games played 64 63
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.0
Win percentage 44% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 50%