Final Score: Mets 9 - Reds 1
Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 12:40 PM ET

Mets @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
32-41 Rating 1490
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.3
Reds
35-37 Rating 1492
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Reds
All-time wins 263 266
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.2
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Reds
Games played 73 72
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.9
Win percentage 44% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 51%