Final Score: Mets 6 - Phillies 4
Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Mets @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 494 | 477 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 6 |
| Stat | Mets | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 74 | 74 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 39% | 54% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 17, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 15, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 12
0-12
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 14, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 10, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 9, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
Phillies
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 17, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 15, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 12, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 8, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Chicago White Sox
Jun 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5