Final Score: Marlins 12 - Phillies 4
Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
36-38 Rating 1486
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
40-33 Rating 1551
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 247 302
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.9
Last meeting 2 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 74 73
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.2
Win percentage 49% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 55%