Final Score: Marlins 2 - Phillies 8
Tuesday, June 16, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
36-37 Rating 1487
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
39-33 Rating 1550
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 247 301
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.9
Last meeting 0 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 73 72
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.3
Win percentage 49% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 54%