Final Score: Rays 6 - Marlins 0
Friday, June 5, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Rays @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
36-23 Rating 1518
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Marlins
29-34 Rating 1478
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Marlins
All-time wins 86 64
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Marlins
Games played 59 63
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.5
Win percentage 61% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 55%