Final Score: Marlins 4 - Nationals 1
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
Marlins @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 276 | 265 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 3 |
| Stat | Marlins | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 62 | 62 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 5.4 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 34% | 39% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Washington Nationals
Jun 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Washington Nationals
Jun 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ New York Mets
May 31, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 11
1-10
@ New York Mets
May 30, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ New York Mets
May 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 26, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 25, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs New York Mets
May 24, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs New York Mets
May 23, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
Nationals
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs San Diego Padres
May 31, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs San Diego Padres
May 30, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs San Diego Padres
May 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Cleveland Guardians
May 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
May 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
May 25, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Atlanta Braves
May 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Atlanta Braves
May 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0