Final Score: Mets 3 - Phillies 15
Saturday, June 20, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
34-41 Rating 1495
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Phillies
40-35 Rating 1547
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 495 477
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 75 75
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.4
Win percentage 45% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 52%