Final Score: Mets 2 - Phillies 6
Sunday, June 21, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
34-42 Rating 1493
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Phillies
41-35 Rating 1548
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 495 478
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 3 15

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 76 76
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 45% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 54%