Final Score: Phillies 1 - Nationals 4
Monday, June 22, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Phillies @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 507 | 462 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 5 |
| Stat | Phillies | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 77 | 78 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 5.2 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 42% |
Recent Results
Phillies
vs New York Mets
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs New York Mets
Jun 20, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 18
15-3
vs New York Mets
Jun 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 17, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 15, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 12, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
Nationals
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 17, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 14, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 13, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 12, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ San Francisco Giants
Jun 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 21
10-11