Final Score: Phillies 0 - Nationals 0
Monday, June 22, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
37-31 Rating 1550
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Nationals
35-34 Rating 1465
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 507 462
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 68 69
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.3
Win percentage 54% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 38%