Final Score: Royals 4 - Nationals 6
Tuesday, June 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Royals @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
29-44 Rating 1467
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.3
Nationals
38-35 Rating 1469
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Nationals
All-time wins 11 17
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 5.1
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Nationals
Games played 73 73
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.2
Win percentage 40% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 34% 42%