Final Score: Reds 9 - Pirates 7
Saturday, June 27, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET

Reds @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
38-42 Rating 1490
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.1
Pirates
41-41 Rating 1477
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Pirates
All-time wins 435 394
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Pirates
Games played 80 82
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.7
Win percentage 48% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 51%