Final Score: Mariners 1 - Pirates 11
Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Mariners @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
41-39 Rating 1523
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +0.3
Pirates
39-40 Rating 1475
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Pirates
All-time wins 18 9
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.1 3.4
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Pirates
Games played 80 79
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.0
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.8
Win percentage 51% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 50%