Final Score: Orioles 5 - Mariners 3
Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Orioles @ Mariners

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
34-40 Rating 1492
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +0.6
Mariners
38-36 Rating 1525
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Mariners
All-time wins 249 216
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Mariners
Games played 74 74
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.9
Win percentage 46% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 56%