Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Mariners 2
Friday, June 19, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Mariners

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
29-43 Rating 1496
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +0.5
Mariners
39-37 Rating 1524
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Mariners
All-time wins 266 196
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.2 4.5
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Mariners
Games played 72 76
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.9
Win percentage 40% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 55%