Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Red Sox 3
Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 343 | 403 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 0 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 74 | 71 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 33% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs New York Yankees
Jun 14, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs New York Yankees
Jun 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs New York Yankees
Jun 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 8, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jun 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jun 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
Red Sox
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 17, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 13, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 12, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ New York Yankees
Jun 7, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ New York Yankees
Jun 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3