Final Score: Blue Jays 2 - Cubs 16
Friday, June 19, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
37-38 Rating 1527
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Cubs
39-36 Rating 1519
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Cubs
All-time wins 14 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 3.5
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Cubs
Games played 75 75
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.5
Win percentage 49% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 58%