Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Mariners 1
Saturday, June 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Mariners

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
30-43 Rating 1499
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +0.5
Mariners
39-38 Rating 1522
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Mariners
All-time wins 267 196
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.2 4.5
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Mariners
Games played 73 77
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.9
Win percentage 41% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 54%