Final Score: Mariners 3 - Pirates 2
Tuesday, June 23, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Mariners @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
40-39 Rating 1521
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +0.2
Pirates
39-39 Rating 1477
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Pirates
All-time wins 17 9
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 3.5
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Pirates
Games played 79 78
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.0
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.8
Win percentage 51% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 51%