Final Score: Mariners 1 - Pirates 5
Thursday, June 25, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET

Mariners @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
41-40 Rating 1521
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +0.2
Pirates
40-40 Rating 1477
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Pirates
All-time wins 18 10
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 3.7
Last meeting 1 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Pirates
Games played 81 80
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.8
Win percentage 51% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 51%