Final Score: Reds 4 - Pirates 9
Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Reds @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
39-42 Rating 1492
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.0
Pirates
41-42 Rating 1475
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Pirates
All-time wins 436 394
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 9 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Pirates
Games played 81 83
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.8
Win percentage 48% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%