Final Score: Pirates 11 - Phillies 7
Monday, June 29, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
42-42 Rating 1477
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
47-37 Rating 1554
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 339 324
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 0 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 84 84
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.4
Win percentage 50% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 55%