Final Score: Phillies 2 - Mets 1
Friday, June 26, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
45-36 Rating 1553
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Mets
34-47 Rating 1484
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 479 495
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 81 81
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.6
Win percentage 56% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 45%