Final Score: Cubs 4 - Mets 3
Thursday, June 25, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
43-37 Rating 1525
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Mets
34-46 Rating 1486
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Mets
All-time wins 334 328
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 10 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Mets
Games played 80 80
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.6
Win percentage 54% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 46%